Beer Purchasers’ Index

About the Beer Purchasers’ Index

By: Lester Jones, NBWA Vice President, Analytics and Chief Economist

The NBWA Beer Purchasers’ Index (BPI) is an informal monthly statistical release giving distributors a timely and reliable indicator of industry beer purchasing activity. BPI is the only forward-looking indicator for the industry to measure expected beer demand (one month forward) in the marketplace. Similar to the widely recognized Purchasing Managers’ Index, the BPI is a net-rising index and a leading indicator of industry performance based on survey responses from participating beer purchasers. The index surveys beer distributors’ purchases across different segments and compares them to that of previous years’ purchases. A reading greater than 50 indicates the segment is expanding, while a reading below 50 indicates the segment is contracting.

The Latest Data

The January BPI reading of 38 shows some improvement over the December 2022 index of 30. Yet, this number remains below the January 2022 reading of 46. The “at-risk” inventory index of 52 is unchanged from December 2022 and is a slight improvement over the January 2022 index of 58. Notably, the below premium segment index continues to be the only segment to report a higher reading compared to 2021 and 2022. Beer orders have remained below the 50 mark for eight consecutive months.

 

Looking across the segments for January:

  • The imports index is the only segment pointing to expanding volumes, with a reading of 52 in January. However, the January 2023 reading is 19 points lower than the January 2022 reading of 71. While still above 50, the import segment has consistently trended lower month over month, with fewer respondents reporting they are ordering more.
  • The craft index of 21 is well below the January 2022 reading of 40 and has continued to reach new lows since 2015.
  • The premium lights index posted a reading of 37, which is also below the January 2022 reading of 46.
  • The premium regular segment index of 27 is also below the January 2022 reading of 30.
  • The below premium segment index of 48 is 10 points higher than the January 2022 reading of 38 and continues to be the only segment to report a higher reading compared to 2021 and 2022.
  • The FMB/seltzer segment continues to contract, falling to 18 from the January 2022 reading of 39.
  • Finally, the cider segment reports a reading of 26 compared to the January 2022 reading of 28.

Beer Distributors

Please sign up to participate and receive the first and only advance notice of expectations for increasing or decreasing sales. Complete the form below using your company’s primary beer purchaser’s contact information. For additional information, please email bpi@nbwa.org.

Beer Distributor Expectations Sign Up

Sign up to participate and receive the first and only advance notice of expectations for increasing or decreasing sales!







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